Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
48%
The model projects 1.57 goals for Iceland and 0.89 for Estonia, giving 52% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Iceland
Above average
Estonia
Average
3
Iceland
5
Draws
1
Estonia