Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
53%
The model's strongest pick is Home or Draw at 79%, well above the 72% norm for this competition. Japan are favoured at 53% to win, with Iceland at 21%. Japan are rated 20th and Iceland 40th of 219 sides, so the gap is real, but the 1X rate is the clearer signal.
Japan
Above average
Iceland
Above average
3
Japan
0
Draws
0
Iceland