Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
54%
The model makes Netherlands slight favourites at 38%, against 34% for Japan and 28% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.34 for Netherlands and 1.25 for Japan, so the margin is narrow. The match is at a neutral venue, so no home advantage is applied.
Netherlands
Above average
Japan
Above average
2
Netherlands
2
Draws
0
Japan