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Netherlands vs Serbia prediction, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · Round 4Full time

Netherlands

2-1

Sun, 4 Oct

Serbia

Model's readPhilips Stadion
1 69%X 19%2 12%

Our pick

Home Win

69.3%

xG

2.3 – 0.9

Over 2.5

62%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →
NetherlandsWDWDD
SerbiaLLLLL

Match analysis

Enhanced

Netherlands to win at home, model gives 69%

The model makes the Netherlands clear favourites, with a 69% home win against a 46% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 2.32 for Netherlands and 0.87 for Serbia, and Serbia have lost all of their last six. Still, a 31% chance of not winning is real.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Netherlands v Serbia

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Netherlands69.3%
Draw19.1%
Serbia11.6%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.1

Netherlands

Above average

5.0

Serbia

Average

NetherlandsLast 10 gamesSerbia
1.90Points per game0.60
2.0Goals scored per game0.8
1.2Goals conceded per game2.3
70%Over 2.5 goals80%
90%Both teams scored60%
0%Clean sheets0%
10%Failed to score40%

Recent results

NetherlandsWDWDD
  • 4 OctHSerbia2-1
  • 1 OctAGreece2-2
  • 27 SeptASerbia2-1
  • 24 SeptHGermany1-1
  • 29 JunHMorocco1-1
  • 25 JunATunisia3-1
SerbiaLLLLL
  • 4 OctANetherlands1-2
  • 1 OctAGermany0-2
  • 27 SeptHNetherlands1-2
  • 24 SeptHGreece1-2
  • 4 JunAMexico1-5
  • 31 MayACape Verde0-3

Head to head

Last 5 meetings

5

Netherlands

0

Draws

0

Serbia

  • 4 Oct 26Netherlands 2-1 Serbia
  • 27 Sept 26Serbia 1-2 Netherlands
  • 11 Jun 06Serbia 0-1 Netherlands
  • 25 Jun 00Netherlands 6-1 Serbia
  • 29 Jun 98Netherlands 2-1 Serbia
Every meeting between these two →