Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 0.8
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
49%
The model makes Germany the clear favourite at 71%, against a 46% norm for home wins in this competition. Its expected goals are 2.32 for Germany and 0.77 for Serbia. Germany's recent form has cooled, but the gap still points one way.
Germany
Above average
Serbia
Average
3
Germany
2
Draws
1
Serbia