Ecuador vs Germany prediction, FIFA World Cup
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
78.2%
xG
0.8 – 1.4
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
44%
Form
Full stats →
EcuadorLLWDL
GermanyDWLDDMatch analysis
EnhancedLean Germany or a draw: Away or Draw at 78%
The model's strongest read is Away or Draw at 78%, against a 52% norm for this competition. That gap is the signal here. Germany win 49% on their own, with expected goals of 1.39 against Ecuador's 0.85.
Match result
1X2Ecuador21.8%
Draw29.4%
Germany48.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Ecuador
Above average
5.6
Germany
Above average
EcuadorLast 10 gamesGermany1.50Points per game1.80
1.1Goals scored per game2.0
1.0Goals conceded per game0.8
40%Over 2.5 goals50%
40%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 4 meetings1
Ecuador
0
Draws
3
Germany
- 25 Jun 26Ecuador 2-1 Germany
- 29 May 13Ecuador 2-4 Germany
- 20 Jun 06Ecuador 0-3 Germany
- 20 Jun 06Germany 3-0 Ecuador