Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
49%
The model gives Ecuador a 59% chance to win, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Guatemala. The main reason is Guatemala's attack, rated 100th weakest, facing Ecuador's defence, 21st best. Goals markets sit close to 50-50, so there is little edge there.
Ecuador
Above average
Guatemala
Average
7
Ecuador
2
Draws
0
Guatemala