Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.6 – 0.8
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
53%
The model makes Algeria the clear favourite, with a 74% home win against 9% for Guatemala. That is well above the 48% home-win rate usual in this competition, which is why it is the strongest read. Expected goals are 2.56 for Algeria and 0.84 for Guatemala.
Algeria
Above average
Guatemala
Average
1
Algeria
0
Draws
0
Guatemala