Our pick
Home Win
xG
1.9 – 0.8
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
49%
The model makes Switzerland the favourite at 62%, well above the 46% norm for home wins in this competition. Expected goals are 1.90 for Switzerland and 0.83 for Slovenia. Slovenia's attack, ranked 121st weakest, faces Switzerland's 7th-best defence. The model still leaves a 24% draw and 15% away win.
Switzerland
Above average
Slovenia
Above average
7
Switzerland
1
Draws
2
Slovenia