Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
79.0%
xG
1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →
Burkina FasoLDLDW
EthiopiaDWLWLMatch analysis
Model generatedBurkina Faso favoured at 55%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.87 goals for Burkina Faso and 1.08 for Ethiopia, giving 55% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.87 - 1.08
- Clean sheet chance: Burkina Faso 34%, Ethiopia 15%
Match result
1X2Burkina Faso55.3%
Draw23.7%
Ethiopia21.0%
Model rating
All ratings →5.4
Burkina Faso
Average
5.7
Ethiopia
Above average
Burkina FasoLast 10 gamesEthiopia1.40Points per game1.60
1.5Goals scored per game1.4
1.8Goals conceded per game1.3
70%Over 2.5 goals40%
30%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 6 meetings4
Burkina Faso
1
Draws
1
Ethiopia
- 12 Oct 25Burkina Faso 3-1 Ethiopia
- 21 Nov 23Ethiopia 0-3 Burkina Faso
- 17 Jan 22Burkina Faso 1-1 Ethiopia
- 25 Jan 13Burkina Faso 4-0 Ethiopia
- 23 Apr 00Burkina Faso 3-0 Ethiopia