Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
54%
The model gives Atlético Mineiro the best chance at 47%, with 27% for a draw and 26% for a Santos win. It projects 1.57 goals for Atlético and 1.11 for Santos. Santos' recent run is strong, but the model already weights recent results, so the home side still comes out ahead.
Atlético Mineiro
Above average
Santos
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | +32 | 60 | |
| 2 | 28 | +26 | 57 | |
| 3 | 28 | +11 | 49 | |
| 4 | 28 | +8 | 48 | |
| 5 | 28 | +8 | 46 | |
| 6 | 28 | +2 | 45 | |
| 7 | 27 | +4 | 40 | |
| 8 | 27 | +1 | 38 | |
| 9 | 28 | -6 | 38 | |
| 10 | 27 | +2 | 36 | |
| 11 | 27 | +2 | 36 | |
| 12 | 28 | -4 | 35 | |
| 13 | 28 | -14 | 33 | |
| 14 | 28 | -3 | 32 | |
| 15 | 28 | -9 | 32 | |
| 16 | 27 | -7 | 31 | |
| 17 | 28 | -8 | 29 | |
| 18 | 28 | -6 | 28 | |
| 19 | 28 | -15 | 23 | |
| 20 | 27 | -24 | 18 |
4
Atlético Mineiro
3
Draws
3
Santos