Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

73.6%

xG

1.5 – 1.1

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →

Rayo VallecanoDWLWL

Athletic BilbaoDDWWL

Match analysis

Enhanced

Rayo Vallecano narrow favourites at 44%

The model makes Rayo Vallecano the most likely winner at 44%, with Athletic Bilbao at 30% and a draw at 27%. Expected goals are 1.45 for Rayo and 1.15 for Bilbao, so the goals markets are close to even. The model's strongest pick is Under 3.5 Goals at 74%.

Match result

1X2

Rayo Vallecano43.8%

Draw26.5%

Athletic Bilbao29.7%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.5

Rayo Vallecano

Above average

5.3

Athletic Bilbao

Average

Rayo VallecanoLast 10 games

Athletic Bilbao

1.40Points per game0.90

1.5Goals scored per game1.0

1.8Goals conceded per game1.4

60%Over 2.5 goals30%

80%Both teams scored40%

10%Clean sheets30%

10%Failed to score40%

Recent results

Rayo VallecanoDWLWL

Athletic BilbaoDDWWL

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	+24	21
2	Atlético Madrid	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	+5	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9▲	Athletic Bilbao10′ 0-0	7	+1	9
10▲	Rayo Vallecano10′ 0-0	8	-5	9
11▼	Villarreal	7	+1	8
12▼	Getafe	7	-3	8
13	Osasuna	7	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	0	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	-9	3