Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick Strong

Home or Away (12)

79.9%

xG

2.2 – 1.1

Over 2.5

65%

Both score

60%

Form

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Real MadridLWWWL

VillarrealWWLLL

Match analysis

Enhanced

Real Madrid favoured at 62%, with goals leaning over

The model makes Real Madrid the favourite at 62%, with a 20% draw and 18% Villarreal win. Expected goals are 2.20 for Real Madrid and 1.12 for Villarreal, which puts over 2.5 at 65%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and an upset is well within what the model allows.

Match result

1X2

Real Madrid61.8%

Draw20.1%

Villarreal18.1%

Model rating

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8.2

Real Madrid

Strong

6.5

Villarreal

Above average

Real MadridLast 10 games

Villarreal

2.40Points per game1.10

2.5Goals scored per game2.0

1.1Goals conceded per game1.8

80%Over 2.5 goals80%

70%Both teams scored80%

20%Clean sheets0%

10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Real MadridLWWWL

VillarrealWWLLL

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	+24	21
2	Atlético Madrid	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	+5	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	+1	8
10	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	0	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	-9	3