Real Madrid vs Málaga prediction, Spanish La Liga
Spanish La Liga · Round 3Full time
Real Madrid
4-0
Málaga
Model's readEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
1 82%X 13%2 5%
Our pick
Over 2.5 Goals
62.6%
xG
2.7 – 0.6
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
40%
Form
Full stats →Real MadridWLWWWMálagaDLLDDMatch analysis
EnhancedOver 2.5 goals is the model's strongest read at 63%
The model's strongest selection is Over 2.5 Goals at 63%, well above the 49% norm for this competition. That gap matters more than the raw figure. Real Madrid are heavy favourites at 82% to win, with 2.67 expected goals against Málaga's 0.56.
Match result
1X2Real Madrid81.8%
Draw12.8%
Málaga5.4%
Model rating
All ratings →8.2
Real Madrid
Strong
3.2
Málaga
Weak
Real MadridLast 10 gamesMálaga2.40Points per game0.40
2.5Goals scored per game0.5
1.1Goals conceded per game1.8
80%Over 2.5 goals30%
70%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Spanish La Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés | 7 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo de A Coruña | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Bilbao | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Osasuna | 7 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 16 |  Racing de Santander | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 7 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Málaga | 8 | -9 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.