Our pick Strong
Home or Away (12)
xG
2.2 – 1.2
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
63%
The model gives Hoffenheim a 59% chance of winning at home, with 2.18 expected goals against Hamburg's 1.20. Over 2.5 goals comes in at 66%, so an open game is what the model expects. Hamburg have won only 3 of their 19 away games, which is the main reason the model leans home.
Hoffenheim
Above average
Hamburg
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +7 | 12 | |
| 2 | 4 | +12 | 10 | |
| 3 | 4 | +9 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | +5 | 7 | |
| 5 | 4 | +5 | 7 | |
| 6 | 4 | +4 | 7 | |
| 7 | 4 | +1 | 7 | |
| 8 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
| 9 | 4 | +4 | 6 | |
| 10 | 4 | -1 | 5 | |
| 11 | 4 | -1 | 5 | |
| 12 | 4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 13 | 4 | -3 | 4 | |
| 14 | 4 | -3 | 3 | |
| 15 | 4 | -3 | 3 | |
| 16 | 4 | -11 | 3 | |
| 17 | 4 | -13 | 1 | |
| 18 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
5
Hoffenheim
2
Draws
3
Hamburg