Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
67%
Both score
59%
The model makes Bayer Leverkusen clear favourites at 68%, against a 43% norm for this competition, which is why it is the strongest read. Expected goals are 2.42 for Leverkusen and 1.01 for Hamburg, and over 2.5 goals sits at 67%. This is a probability, not a guarantee, and upsets still happen.
Bayer Leverkusen
Strong
Hamburg
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +7 | 13 | |
| 2 | 4 | +12 | 10 | |
| 3 | 4 | +9 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 5 | 4 | +5 | 7 | |
| 6 | 4 | +5 | 7 | |
| 7 | 4 | +4 | 7 | |
| 8 | 4 | +1 | 7 | |
| 9 | 4 | +4 | 6 | |
| 10 | 4 | -1 | 5 | |
| 11 | 4 | -1 | 5 | |
| 12 | 4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 13 | 4 | -3 | 4 | |
| 14 | 4 | -3 | 3 | |
| 15 | 4 | -3 | 3 | |
| 16 | 4 | -11 | 3 | |
| 17 | 4 | -13 | 1 | |
| 18 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
6
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Draws
2
Hamburg