Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction — German Bundesliga

Our pick

Home Win

67.6%

xG

2.4 – 1.0

Over 2.5

67%

Both score

59%

Form

Full stats →

Bayer LeverkusenWWDWL

Union BerlinLLLDW

Match analysis

Enhanced

Bayer Leverkusen to win at home, model gives 68%

The model's strongest read is a Bayer Leverkusen home win at 68%, well above the 43% norm for home wins in this competition. Their expected 2.43 goals against Union Berlin's 1.03 explains most of it. Leverkusen's recent form is cooler than their season, so this is a probability, not a sure thing.

Match result

1X2

Bayer Leverkusen67.6%

Draw18.7%

Union Berlin13.8%

Model rating

All ratings →

7.1

Bayer Leverkusen

Strong

4.2

Union Berlin

Average

Bayer LeverkusenLast 10 games

Union Berlin

1.70Points per game0.80

2.1Goals scored per game1.6

1.3Goals conceded per game2.8

70%Over 2.5 goals100%

70%Both teams scored70%

30%Clean sheets10%

0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Bayer LeverkusenWWDWL

Union BerlinLLLDW

German Bundesliga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	+7	12
2	Bayern Munich	4	+12	10
3	Freiburg	4	+9	10
4	Augsburg	4	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	+5	7
6	Mainz	4	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	-2	4
13	Köln	4	-3	4
14	Hoffenheim	4	-3	3
15	Stuttgart	4	-3	3
16	Hamburg	4	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	-10	0