Bahia vs Bragantino Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

77.9%

xG

1.6 – 1.0

Over 2.5

47%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →

BahiaLLWWW

BragantinoDLLDL

Match analysis

Model generated

Bahia favoured at 51%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.58 goals for Bahia and 0.96 for Bragantino, giving 51% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.58 - 0.96
Clean sheet chance: Bahia 38%, Bragantino 21%

Match result

1X2

Bahia51.0%

Draw26.8%

Bragantino22.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.4

Bahia

Above average

5.2

Bragantino

Average

BahiaLast 10 games

Bragantino

1.60Points per game0.70

1.5Goals scored per game0.8

1.2Goals conceded per game1.3

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

60%Both teams scored60%

30%Clean sheets20%

30%Failed to score30%

Recent results

BahiaLLWWW

BragantinoDLLDL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18