Santos vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

75.6%

xG

1.5 – 1.1

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

SantosDWWWW

Atlético MineiroDWDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Santos favoured at 46%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.55 goals for Santos and 1.13 for Atlético Mineiro, giving 46% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.55 - 1.13
Clean sheet chance: Santos 32%, Atlético Mineiro 21%

Match result

1X2

Santos46.0%

Draw27.0%

Atlético Mineiro27.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.2

Santos

Above average

6.3

Atlético Mineiro

Above average

SantosLast 10 games

Atlético Mineiro

2.10Points per game1.90

1.8Goals scored per game1.6

1.2Goals conceded per game1.0

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

70%Both teams scored60%

20%Clean sheets30%

10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

SantosDWWWW

Atlético MineiroDWDWL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18