Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

74.6%

xG

1.0 – 1.5

Over 2.5

47%

Both score

51%

Form

Full stats →

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

PalmeirasWDWDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Palmeiras favoured at 47%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.04 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.51 for Palmeiras, giving 25% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 47% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.04 - 1.51
Clean sheet chance: Vasco da Gama 22%, Palmeiras 35%

Match result

1X2

Vasco da Gama25.4%

Draw27.6%

Palmeiras47.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.1

Vasco da Gama

Average

8.9

Palmeiras

Elite

Vasco da GamaLast 10 games

Palmeiras

1.50Points per game1.60

1.4Goals scored per game1.5

1.2Goals conceded per game0.7

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

50%Both teams scored40%

30%Clean sheets60%

40%Failed to score30%

Recent results

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

PalmeirasWDWDD

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18