Atlético Mineiro vs Santos Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

75.7%

xG

1.6 – 1.1

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

Atlético MineiroDWDWL

SantosDWWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Atlético Mineiro favoured at 47%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.57 goals for Atlético Mineiro and 1.11 for Santos, giving 47% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.57 - 1.11
Clean sheet chance: Atlético Mineiro 33%, Santos 21%

Match result

1X2

Atlético Mineiro47.1%

Draw26.8%

Santos26.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.3

Atlético Mineiro

Above average

6.2

Santos

Above average

Atlético MineiroLast 10 games

Santos

1.90Points per game2.10

1.6Goals scored per game1.8

1.0Goals conceded per game1.2

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

60%Both teams scored70%

30%Clean sheets20%

20%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Atlético MineiroDWDWL

SantosDWWWW

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8▲	São Paulo79′ 2-1	28	+3	39
9▼	Santos	27	+1	38
10▼	Coritiba	28	-6	38
11▼	Bragantino	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória79′ 1-2	29	-15	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18