Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

79.3%

xG

1.6 – 1.3

Over 2.5

55%

Both score

59%

Form

Full stats →

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

BotafogoLLWDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Vasco da Gama favoured at 45%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.62 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.27 for Botafogo, giving 45% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.62 - 1.27
Clean sheet chance: Vasco da Gama 28%, Botafogo 20%

Match result

1X2

Vasco da Gama44.7%

Draw26.0%

Botafogo29.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.1

Vasco da Gama

Average

5.9

Botafogo

Above average

Vasco da GamaLast 10 games

Botafogo

1.50Points per game0.90

1.4Goals scored per game0.9

1.2Goals conceded per game1.5

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

50%Both teams scored50%

30%Clean sheets20%

40%Failed to score40%

Recent results

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

BotafogoLLWDD

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18