Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

79.6%

xG

2.0 – 1.1

Over 2.5

60%

Both score

59%

Form

Full stats →

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

CoritibaLLDLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Vasco da Gama favoured at 57%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.99 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.13 for Coritiba, giving 57% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.99 - 1.13
Clean sheet chance: Vasco da Gama 32%, Coritiba 14%

Match result

1X2

Vasco da Gama56.7%

Draw22.9%

Coritiba20.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.1

Vasco da Gama

Average

4.6

Coritiba

Average

Vasco da GamaLast 10 games

Coritiba

1.50Points per game1.20

1.4Goals scored per game1.2

1.2Goals conceded per game2.0

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

50%Both teams scored60%

30%Clean sheets10%

40%Failed to score40%

Recent results

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

CoritibaLLDLW

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo 0-0	29	+32	61
2	Palmeiras 2-0	29	+28	60
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense 0-0	29	+8	49
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians 0-2	29	-5	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16▲	Internacional 1-0	29	-5	31
17▼	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
18▼	Grêmio 0-1	29	-9	29
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18