RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — German Bundesliga

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

76.3%

xG

1.9 – 1.5

Over 2.5

66%

Both score

67%

Form

Full stats →

RB LeipzigWLWLL

Bayer LeverkusenWWWDW

Match analysis

Model generated

RB Leipzig favoured at 46%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.88 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.51 for Bayer Leverkusen, giving 46% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
Expected goals: 1.88 - 1.51
Clean sheet chance: RB Leipzig 22%, Bayer Leverkusen 15%

Match result

1X2

RB Leipzig45.8%

Draw23.7%

Bayer Leverkusen30.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.4

RB Leipzig

Above average

7.1

Bayer Leverkusen

Strong

RB LeipzigLast 10 games

Bayer Leverkusen

1.50Points per game2.00

2.3Goals scored per game2.4

1.9Goals conceded per game1.4

90%Over 2.5 goals70%

60%Both teams scored70%

30%Clean sheets30%

10%Failed to score0%

Recent results

RB LeipzigWLWLL

Bayer LeverkusenWWWDW

German Bundesliga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	5	+7	13
2	Bayern Munich	5	+12	11
3	Freiburg40′ 1-1	5	+9	11
4	Bayer Leverkusen	5	+6	10
5	RB Leipzig	5	+10	9
6	Augsburg	5	+5	8
7	Werder Bremen	5	0	8
8	Mainz	5	+3	7
9	Elversberg	5	0	7
10	Stuttgart	5	-1	6
11▲	Schalke 0440′ 1-1	5	-1	6
12▼	Hamburg	5	-10	6
13	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	-7	5
14	Köln	4	-3	4
15	Paderborn	5	-4	4
16	Union Berlin	5	-12	4
17	Hoffenheim	5	-4	3
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	-10	0