Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction — French Ligue 1

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

71.1%

xG

1.4 – 1.8

Over 2.5

62%

Both score

63%

Form

Full stats →

MarseilleLLLLL

Paris Saint-GermainWWWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Paris Saint-Germain favoured at 47%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.39 goals for Marseille and 1.82 for Paris Saint-Germain, giving 29% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 47% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.39 - 1.82
Clean sheet chance: Marseille 16%, Paris Saint-Germain 25%

Match result

1X2

Marseille28.9%

Draw24.1%

Paris Saint-Germain47.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.9

Marseille

Above average

8.1

Paris Saint-Germain

Strong

MarseilleLast 10 games

Paris Saint-Germain

1.00Points per game1.80

1.3Goals scored per game2.1

1.7Goals conceded per game1.2

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

50%Both teams scored80%

20%Clean sheets20%

30%Failed to score0%

Recent results

MarseilleLLLLL

Paris Saint-GermainWWWWL

French Ligue 1

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	6	+5	14
2	Lille	6	+5	13
3	Lyon	6	+7	11
4	Paris FC	6	+4	11
5	Paris Saint-Germain	6	+3	11
6	Rennes	5	-1	10
7	Brest	6	+3	8
8	Lorient	6	0	8
9	Lens	6	+1	7
10	Strasbourg	5	0	7
11	Angers	6	-3	7
12▲	Marseille88′ 1-0	6	0	6
13▼	Le Mans	6	-2	6
14▼	Toulouse	6	-2	6
15▼	Auxerre	5	-5	6
16▼	Nice	5	-3	5
17▼	Troyes88′ 0-1	6	-8	4
18	Le Havre	6	-4	2