Marseille vs Paris FC prediction, French Ligue 1
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
77.6%
xG
1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →
MarseilleLLLLL
Paris FCLWDWWMatch analysis
EnhancedMarseille favoured, but only 45% — close game
The model gives Marseille a 45% chance to win at home, against 29% for Paris FC and 26% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.58 for Marseille and 1.22 for Paris FC, so it leans home without settling the match. Paris FC's recent form is the number to watch.
Match result
1X2Marseille44.8%
Draw26.2%
Paris FC28.9%
Model rating
All ratings →5.9
Marseille
Above average
6.3
Paris FC
Above average
MarseilleLast 10 gamesParis FC1.00Points per game1.70
1.3Goals scored per game1.5
1.7Goals conceded per game0.8
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
50%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets40%
30%Failed to score40%
Recent results
French Ligue 1
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Lyon | 6 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |  Lille | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Lens | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Angers | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Strasbourg | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Le Mans | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Auxerre | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Brest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Lorient | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Toulouse | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nice | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Troyes | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | -3 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 3 meetings1
Marseille
1
Draws
1
Paris FC
- 6 Sept 26Marseille 2-3 Paris FC
- 31 Jan 26Paris FC 2-2 Marseille
- 23 Aug 25Marseille 5-2 Paris FC