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Liberia vs Sierra Leone prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF

World Cup Qualifying CAFFull time

Liberia

3-1

Wed, 4 Sept

Sierra Leone

Model's readMonrovia
1 45%X 27%2 28%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

74.3%

xG

1.5 – 1.1

Over 2.5

49%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →
LiberiaWLDLL
Sierra LeoneLWDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Liberia favoured at 45%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.49 goals for Liberia and 1.12 for Sierra Leone, giving 45% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.49 - 1.12
  • Clean sheet chance: Liberia 33%, Sierra Leone 23%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Liberia v Sierra Leone

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Liberia44.9%
Draw27.3%
Sierra Leone27.8%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.2

Liberia

Average

5.2

Sierra Leone

Average

LiberiaLast 10 gamesSierra Leone
1.20Points per game1.40
1.3Goals scored per game1.1
1.5Goals conceded per game1.1
60%Over 2.5 goals30%
60%Both teams scored50%
0%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score30%

Recent results

LiberiaWLDLL
  • 9 JunHSierra Leone3-1
  • 6 JunASierra Leone0-1
  • 31 MarHLibya2-2
  • 27 MarABenin0-1
  • 15 NovAGuinea0-2
  • 13 OctAEquatorial Guinea1-1
Sierra LeoneLWDWL
  • 9 JunALiberia1-3
  • 6 JunHLiberia1-0
  • 30 MarAAzerbaijan1-1
  • 12 OctADjibouti2-1
  • 8 OctHBurkina Faso0-1
  • 9 SeptHEthiopia2-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

5

Liberia

1

Draws

4

Sierra Leone

  • 9 Jun 26Liberia 3-1 Sierra Leone
  • 6 Jun 26Sierra Leone 1-0 Liberia
  • 27 Mar 22Liberia 0-1 Sierra Leone
  • 8 Sept 19Sierra Leone 1-0 Liberia
  • 4 Sept 19Liberia 3-1 Sierra Leone
Every meeting between these two →