Sierra Leone vs Liberia prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
74.4%
xG
1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →
Sierra LeoneLWDWL
LiberiaWLDLLMatch analysis
Model generatedSierra Leone favoured at 46%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.53 goals for Sierra Leone and 1.10 for Liberia, giving 46% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.53 - 1.10
- Clean sheet chance: Sierra Leone 33%, Liberia 22%
Match result
1X2Sierra Leone46.5%
Draw27.0%
Liberia26.5%
Model rating
All ratings →5.2
Sierra Leone
Average
5.2
Liberia
Average
Sierra LeoneLast 10 gamesLiberia1.40Points per game1.20
1.1Goals scored per game1.3
1.1Goals conceded per game1.5
30%Over 2.5 goals60%
50%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets0%
30%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Sierra Leone
1
Draws
5
Liberia
- 9 Jun 26Liberia 3-1 Sierra Leone
- 6 Jun 26Sierra Leone 1-0 Liberia
- 27 Mar 22Liberia 0-1 Sierra Leone
- 8 Sept 19Sierra Leone 1-0 Liberia
- 4 Sept 19Liberia 3-1 Sierra Leone