Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Dutch Eredivisie

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

77.6%

xG

1.2 – 1.9

Over 2.5

61%

Both score

61%

Form

Full stats →

Fortuna SittardDWLWW

AZ AlkmaarLWLDW

Match analysis

Model generated

AZ Alkmaar favoured at 53%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.21 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 1.94 for AZ Alkmaar, giving 22% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 53% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.21 - 1.94
Clean sheet chance: Fortuna Sittard 14%, AZ Alkmaar 30%

Match result

1X2

Fortuna Sittard22.4%

Draw24.7%

AZ Alkmaar53.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

—

Fortuna Sittard

Not rated yet

7.2

AZ Alkmaar

Strong

Fortuna SittardLast 10 games

AZ Alkmaar

1.70Points per game2.00

1.7Goals scored per game2.1

1.9Goals conceded per game1.2

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

70%Both teams scored50%

10%Clean sheets30%

20%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Fortuna SittardDWLWW

AZ AlkmaarLWLDW

Dutch Eredivisie

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	+12	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	+16	19
3	Feyenoord	7	+18	17
4	Twente	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	8	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	-14	2