Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Dutch Eredivisie

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

73.7%

xG

1.9 – 1.3

Over 2.5

62%

Both score

63%

Form

Full stats →

FeyenoordWWWLW

AZ AlkmaarLWLDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Feyenoord favoured at 48%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.86 goals for Feyenoord and 1.33 for AZ Alkmaar, giving 48% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.86 - 1.33
Clean sheet chance: Feyenoord 26%, AZ Alkmaar 16%

Match result

1X2

Feyenoord48.4%

Draw25.3%

AZ Alkmaar26.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.0

Feyenoord

Strong

7.2

AZ Alkmaar

Strong

FeyenoordLast 10 games

AZ Alkmaar

2.30Points per game2.00

3.0Goals scored per game2.1

1.2Goals conceded per game1.2

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

50%Both teams scored50%

50%Clean sheets30%

0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

FeyenoordWWWLW

AZ AlkmaarLWLDW

Dutch Eredivisie

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	+12	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	+16	19
3	Feyenoord	7	+18	17
4	Twente	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	8	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	-14	2