AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
66.1%
xG
1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
64%
Form
Full stats →
AZ AlkmaarLWLDW
FeyenoordWWWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedFeyenoord favoured at 40%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.51 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.65 for Feyenoord, giving 34% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.51 - 1.65
- Clean sheet chance: AZ Alkmaar 19%, Feyenoord 22%
Match result
1X2AZ Alkmaar33.9%
Draw26.3%
Feyenoord39.8%
Model rating
All ratings →7.2
AZ Alkmaar
Strong
8.0
Feyenoord
Strong
AZ AlkmaarLast 10 gamesFeyenoord2.00Points per game2.30
2.1Goals scored per game3.0
1.2Goals conceded per game1.2
40%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets50%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
AZ Alkmaar
2
Draws
7
Feyenoord
- 10 May 26Feyenoord 1-1 AZ Alkmaar
- 21 Sept 25AZ Alkmaar 3-3 Feyenoord
- 5 Apr 25AZ Alkmaar 0-1 Feyenoord
- 2 Nov 24Feyenoord 3-2 AZ Alkmaar
- 4 Feb 24AZ Alkmaar 0-1 Feyenoord