AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Dutch Eredivisie · Round 32Full time
AZ Alkmaar
1-0
Fortuna Sittard
Model's readAFAS Stadion
1 61%X 22%2 16%
Our pick
Home Win
61.4%
xG
2.2 – 1.1
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →AZ AlkmaarLWLDWFortuna SittardDWLWWMatch analysis
Model generatedAZ Alkmaar favoured at 61%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.17 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.06 for Fortuna Sittard, giving 61% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.17 - 1.06
- Clean sheet chance: AZ Alkmaar 35%, Fortuna Sittard 11%
Match result
1X2AZ Alkmaar61.4%
Draw22.2%
Fortuna Sittard16.4%
Model rating
All ratings →7.2
AZ Alkmaar
Strong
—
Fortuna Sittard
Not rated yet
AZ AlkmaarLast 10 gamesFortuna Sittard2.00Points per game1.70
2.1Goals scored per game1.7
1.2Goals conceded per game1.9
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
50%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings8
AZ Alkmaar
0
Draws
2
Fortuna Sittard
- 22 Aug 26Fortuna Sittard 0-2 AZ Alkmaar
- 4 Apr 26AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Fortuna Sittard
- 21 Dec 25Fortuna Sittard 4-3 AZ Alkmaar
- 23 Feb 25AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Fortuna Sittard
- 6 Oct 24Fortuna Sittard 1-0 AZ Alkmaar