Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

75.5%

xG

1.5 – 1.0

Over 2.5

46%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Celta VigoWLDDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Athletic Bilbao favoured at 47%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.47 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.05 for Celta Vigo, giving 47% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.47 - 1.05
Clean sheet chance: Athletic Bilbao 35%, Celta Vigo 23%

Match result

1X2

Athletic Bilbao46.5%

Draw26.7%

Celta Vigo26.8%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.3

Athletic Bilbao

Average

5.4

Celta Vigo

Average

Athletic BilbaoLast 10 games

Celta Vigo

1.00Points per game1.10

1.0Goals scored per game1.0

1.3Goals conceded per game0.8

30%Over 2.5 goals20%

40%Both teams scored40%

40%Clean sheets40%

40%Failed to score40%

Recent results

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Celta VigoWLDDD

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	+24	21
2	Atlético Madrid	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	+5	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9▲	Celta VigoHT 0-0	8	+2	8
10▼	Villarreal	7	+1	8
11▼	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
12▼	Espanyol	8	0	8
13▼	Getafe	7	-3	8
14▼	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
15▼	Osasuna	7	-7	8
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17▲	ElcheHT 0-0	8	-6	6
18▼	Levante	6	-4	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4