Stoke vs Watford prediction, English Championship
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
75.4%
xG
1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
51%
Form
Full stats →
StokeWWWDW
WatfordLLLWLMatch analysis
Model generatedStoke favoured at 43%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.42 goals for Stoke and 1.10 for Watford, giving 43% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.42 - 1.10
- Clean sheet chance: Stoke 33%, Watford 24%
Match result
1X2Stoke43.4%
Draw28.5%
Watford28.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Stoke
Average
4.4
Watford
Average
StokeLast 10 gamesWatford1.70Points per game0.80
1.6Goals scored per game0.8
1.4Goals conceded per game1.9
70%Over 2.5 goals50%
80%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score40%
Recent results
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Stoke
2
Draws
5
Watford
- 12 Sept 26Watford 1-2 Stoke
- 14 Mar 26Stoke 3-1 Watford
- 20 Dec 25Watford 1-0 Stoke
- 1 Mar 25Stoke 0-0 Watford
- 17 Aug 24Watford 3-0 Stoke