
Swansea
2-0

Watford
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
51%
The model's strongest pick is Home or Draw, at 77% against a 70% norm for this competition, so the gap is the real signal. Swansea are on a hot run, 2.2 points a game over their last 6 against 1.5 across the sample, while Watford have won only 6 of 41 away matches. Outcomes are never guaranteed, so treat this as a model read, not a sure thing.
Swansea
Above average
Watford
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +6 | 17 | |
| 2 | 8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 3 | 8 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | +5 | 14 | |
| 5▲ | 9 | +2 | 14 | |
| 6▼ | 9 | +1 | 14 | |
| 7▲ | 9 | -1 | 14 | |
| 8▼ | 8 | +3 | 13 | |
| 9▼ | 8 | +1 | 13 | |
| 10▼ | 9 | -3 | 13 | |
| 11▲ | 9 | 0 | 12 | |
| 12▼ | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 13▼ | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 14▼ | 8 | +9 | 10 | |
| 15▼ | 8 | -3 | 10 | |
| 16▼ | 8 | -4 | 10 | |
| 17▼ | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 18 | 8 | -2 | 9 | |
| 19 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 20 | 8 | -3 | 8 | |
| 21 | 8 | -2 | 7 | |
| 22 | 8 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 | 8 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 | 8 | -8 | 4 |
5
Swansea
2
Draws
3
Watford