Genoa vs Napoli prediction, Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A · Round 21Full time
Genoa
2-1
Napoli
Model's readStadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
1 24%X 26%2 50%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
75.7%
xG
0.9 – 1.5
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
46%
Form
Full stats →GenoaWLWDLNapoliWDWLLMatch analysis
Model generatedNapoli favoured at 50%, in a middling game
The model projects 0.93 goals for Genoa and 1.46 for Napoli, giving 24% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 50% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 0.93 - 1.46
- Clean sheet chance: Genoa 23%, Napoli 40%
Match result
1X2Genoa24.3%
Draw25.8%
Napoli49.9%
Model rating
All ratings →4.2
Genoa
Average
7.2
Napoli
Strong
GenoaLast 10 gamesNapoli1.00Points per game1.60
1.1Goals scored per game1.6
1.5Goals conceded per game1.0
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
60%Both teams scored40%
10%Clean sheets50%
30%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ |  Lazio17′ 1-0 | 6 | +6 | 16 |
| 2▼ |  Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 3▼ |  Inter Milan | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11▲ |  Lecce15′ 0-0 | 6 | -5 | 7 |
| 12▼ |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza17′ 0-1 | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna15′ 0-0 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 2 games in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Genoa
3
Draws
6
Napoli
- 22 Aug 26Genoa 0-2 Napoli
- 7 Feb 26Genoa 2-3 Napoli
- 5 Oct 25Napoli 2-1 Genoa
- 11 May 25Napoli 2-2 Genoa
- 21 Dec 24Genoa 1-2 Napoli