Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
47%
The model gives Genoa the edge, with a 47% chance of a home win against 27% for a draw and 26% for Südtirol. Expected goals are 1.40 for Genoa and 0.97 for Südtirol, and Under 2.5 Goals sits at 58%, so a low-scoring game is the model's likeliest shape.
Genoa
Average
Südtirol
Above average
1
Genoa
0
Draws
0
Südtirol