Cagliari vs Parma prediction, Italian Serie A
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
72.8%
xG
1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
42%
Form
Full stats →
CagliariWWWLL
ParmaLWLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedCagliari favoured at 45%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.26 goals for Cagliari and 0.91 for Parma, giving 45% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 15%
- Expected goals: 1.26 - 0.91
- Clean sheet chance: Cagliari 40%, Parma 28%
Match result
1X2Cagliari44.8%
Draw28.0%
Parma27.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.5
Cagliari
Above average
4.5
Parma
Average
CagliariLast 10 gamesParma2.10Points per game1.00
1.1Goals scored per game0.7
0.8Goals conceded per game1.3
40%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored30%
40%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |  Inter Milan | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Cagliari
4
Draws
1
Parma
- 22 Aug 26Parma 0-1 Cagliari
- 27 Feb 26Parma 1-1 Cagliari
- 13 Sept 25Cagliari 2-0 Parma
- 9 Feb 25Cagliari 2-1 Parma
- 30 Sept 24Parma 2-3 Cagliari