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Vitória de Guimarães vs Braga prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga

Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 5Full time

Vitória de Guimarães

0-1

Sun, 25 Oct

Braga

Model's readEstádio D. Afonso Henriques
1 29%X 26%2 45%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

70.8%

xG

1.1 – 1.4

Over 2.5

45%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →
Vitória de GuimarãesDLDLW
BragaLDWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Braga favoured at 45%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.08 goals for Vitória de Guimarães and 1.41 for Braga, giving 29% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 45% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.08 - 1.41
  • Clean sheet chance: Vitória de Guimarães 24%, Braga 34%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Vitória de Guimarães v Braga

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Vitória de Guimarães29.2%
Draw26.1%
Braga44.7%

Model rating

All ratings →
4.7

Vitória de Guimarães

Average

7.1

Braga

Strong

Vitória de GuimarãesLast 10 gamesBraga
0.50Points per game1.60
0.6Goals scored per game1.0
1.6Goals conceded per game0.8
30%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets60%
50%Failed to score30%

Recent results

Vitória de GuimarãesDLDLW
  • 20 SeptHMoreirense1-1
  • 12 SeptAAcadémico de Viseu1-2
  • 6 SeptHCasa Pia0-0
  • 31 AugABraga0-1
  • 23 AugHNacional de Madeira1-0
  • 14 AugASporting CP2-3
BragaLDWLW
  • 9 OctHSporting CP1-3
  • 20 SeptASanta Clara0-0
  • 14 SeptHEstoril Praia1-0
  • 10 SeptAEstrela Amadora1-2
  • 5 SeptAAlverca2-1
  • 31 AugHVitória de Guimarães1-0

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Porto7+1521
2Benfica7+1516
3Sporting CP7+915
4Santa Clara7+715
5Arouca7+311
6Braga6+211
7Académico de Viseu7011
8Estrela Amadora7010
9Gil Vicente608
10Alverca7-28
11Marítimo7-48
12Moreirense7-68
13Famalicao7+27
14Vitória de Guimarães7-35
15Nacional de Madeira7-84
16Rio Ave7-104
17Casa Pia7-134
18Estoril Praia7-72
Top four Bottom three

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

3

Vitória de Guimarães

3

Draws

4

Braga

  • 31 Aug 26Braga 1-0 Vitória de Guimarães
  • 21 Feb 26Braga 3-2 Vitória de Guimarães
  • 20 Sept 25Vitória de Guimarães 1-1 Braga
  • 16 Feb 25Vitória de Guimarães 0-0 Braga
  • 15 Sept 24Braga 0-2 Vitória de Guimarães
Every meeting between these two →