Bragantino vs Bahia Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

75.9%

xG

1.3 – 1.1

Over 2.5

45%

Both score

51%

Form

Full stats →

BragantinoDLLDL

BahiaLLWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Bragantino favoured at 40%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.35 goals for Bragantino and 1.15 for Bahia, giving 40% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
Expected goals: 1.35 - 1.15
Clean sheet chance: Bragantino 32%, Bahia 26%

Match result

1X2

Bragantino40.4%

Draw28.7%

Bahia31.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.2

Bragantino

Average

6.4

Bahia

Above average

BragantinoLast 10 games

Bahia

0.70Points per game1.60

0.8Goals scored per game1.5

1.3Goals conceded per game1.2

30%Over 2.5 goals50%

60%Both teams scored60%

20%Clean sheets30%

30%Failed to score30%

Recent results

BragantinoDLLDL

BahiaLLWWW

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18