AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
79.0%
xG
2.1 – 1.2
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
63%
Form
Full stats →
AZ AlkmaarLWLDW
UtrechtLWDLDMatch analysis
Model generatedAZ Alkmaar favoured at 56%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.09 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.24 for Utrecht, giving 56% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.09 - 1.24
- Clean sheet chance: AZ Alkmaar 29%, Utrecht 12%
Match result
1X2AZ Alkmaar55.6%
Draw23.3%
Utrecht21.0%
Model rating
All ratings →7.2
AZ Alkmaar
Strong
5.7
Utrecht
Above average
AZ AlkmaarLast 10 gamesUtrecht2.00Points per game1.20
2.1Goals scored per game1.6
1.2Goals conceded per game2.6
40%Over 2.5 goals80%
50%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
AZ Alkmaar
5
Draws
2
Utrecht
- 15 Aug 26Utrecht 1-4 AZ Alkmaar
- 1 Mar 26Utrecht 2-0 AZ Alkmaar
- 26 Oct 25AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Utrecht
- 18 Jan 25Utrecht 0-0 AZ Alkmaar
- 29 Sept 24AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Utrecht