Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Dutch Eredivisie

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

76.6%

xG

1.9 – 1.3

Over 2.5

62%

Both score

62%

Form

Full stats →

HeerenveenLWDLD

Sparta RotterdamDLLDL

Match analysis

Model generated

Heerenveen favoured at 52%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.93 goals for Heerenveen and 1.25 for Sparta Rotterdam, giving 52% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.93 - 1.25
Clean sheet chance: Heerenveen 29%, Sparta Rotterdam 15%

Match result

1X2

Heerenveen51.8%

Draw24.8%

Sparta Rotterdam23.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.8

Heerenveen

Above average

4.4

Sparta Rotterdam

Average

HeerenveenLast 10 games

Sparta Rotterdam

1.00Points per game0.60

1.3Goals scored per game1.5

1.4Goals conceded per game2.7

50%Over 2.5 goals90%

40%Both teams scored70%

40%Clean sheets0%

40%Failed to score30%

Recent results

HeerenveenLWDLD

Sparta RotterdamDLLDL

Dutch Eredivisie

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	+12	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	+16	19
3	Feyenoord	7	+18	17
4	Twente	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	8	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	-14	2