Marseille vs Monaco Prediction — French Ligue 1

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

75.2%

xG

1.7 – 1.4

Over 2.5

60%

Both score

63%

Form

Full stats →

MarseilleWLLLL

MonacoDWDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Marseille favoured at 44%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.70 goals for Marseille and 1.42 for Monaco, giving 44% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.70 - 1.42
Clean sheet chance: Marseille 24%, Monaco 18%

Match result

1X2

Marseille43.6%

Draw24.8%

Monaco31.6%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.9

Marseille

Above average

7.1

Monaco

Strong

MarseilleLast 10 games

Monaco

1.20Points per game2.00

1.4Goals scored per game2.1

1.6Goals conceded per game1.4

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

40%Both teams scored70%

30%Clean sheets20%

30%Failed to score10%

Recent results

MarseilleWLLLL

MonacoDWDWW

French Ligue 1

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	6	+5	14
2	Lille	6	+5	13
3	Lyon	6	+7	11
4	Paris FC	6	+4	11
5	Paris Saint-Germain	6	+3	11
6	Rennes	5	-1	10
7	Brest	6	+3	8
8	Lorient	6	0	8
9	Lens	6	+1	7
10	Strasbourg	5	0	7
11	Angers	6	-3	7
12	Le Mans	6	-2	6
13	Toulouse	6	-2	6
14	Auxerre	5	-5	6
15	Nice	5	-3	5
16	Troyes	5	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	-1	3
18	Le Havre	6	-4	2