Marseille vs Strasbourg prediction, French Ligue 1
French Ligue 1 · Round 38Full time
Marseille
4-0
Strasbourg
Model's readStade Orange Vélodrome
1 51%X 23%2 26%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
73.9%
xG
2.0 – 1.4
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
65%
Form
Full stats →MarseilleLLLLLStrasbourgLDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedMarseille favoured at 51%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.97 goals for Marseille and 1.37 for Strasbourg, giving 51% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 1.97 - 1.37
- Clean sheet chance: Marseille 25%, Strasbourg 14%
Match result
1X2Marseille50.9%
Draw23.0%
Strasbourg26.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.9
Marseille
Above average
6.2
Strasbourg
Above average
MarseilleLast 10 gamesStrasbourg1.00Points per game1.40
1.3Goals scored per game1.9
1.7Goals conceded per game1.9
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored80%
20%Clean sheets0%
30%Failed to score20%
Recent results
French Ligue 1
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Lyon | 6 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |  Lille | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Lens | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Angers | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Le Mans | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Auxerre | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Brest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Lorient | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Toulouse | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nice | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Troyes | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | -3 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Marseille
6
Draws
1
Strasbourg
- 21 Aug 26Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
- 14 Feb 26Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg
- 26 Sept 25Strasbourg 1-2 Marseille
- 19 Jan 25Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg
- 29 Sept 24Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille