Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

78.2%

xG

1.8 – 1.1

Over 2.5

55%

Both score

55%

Form

Full stats →

VillarrealLWWLL

Deportivo AlavésLDLLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Villarreal favoured at 55%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.82 goals for Villarreal and 1.06 for Deportivo Alavés, giving 55% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.82 - 1.06
Clean sheet chance: Villarreal 35%, Deportivo Alavés 16%

Match result

1X2

Villarreal54.8%

Draw23.4%

Deportivo Alavés21.8%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.5

Villarreal

Above average

5.3

Deportivo Alavés

Average

VillarrealLast 10 games

Deportivo Alavés

1.10Points per game1.40

2.0Goals scored per game1.4

1.7Goals conceded per game1.0

80%Over 2.5 goals50%

80%Both teams scored50%

0%Clean sheets40%

20%Failed to score20%

Recent results

VillarrealLWWLL

Deportivo AlavésLDLLW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	+24	21
2	Atlético Madrid	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	+5	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9▲	Celta Vigo59′ 0-0	8	+2	8
10▼	Villarreal	7	+1	8
11▼	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
12▼	Espanyol	8	0	8
13▼	Getafe	7	-3	8
14▼	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
15▼	Osasuna	7	-7	8
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17▲	Elche59′ 0-0	8	-6	6
18▼	Levante	6	-4	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4