Roma vs Fiorentina prediction, Italian Serie A
Our pick Strong
Home or Away (12)
78.5%
xG
1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
51%
Form
Full stats →
RomaDDWDW
FiorentinaLDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedRoma favoured at 60%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.88 goals for Roma and 0.92 for Fiorentina, giving 60% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.88 - 0.92
- Clean sheet chance: Roma 40%, Fiorentina 15%
Match result
1X2Roma60.2%
Draw21.5%
Fiorentina18.3%
Model rating
All ratings →8.1
Roma
Strong
5.1
Fiorentina
Average
RomaLast 10 gamesFiorentina2.40Points per game1.40
2.2Goals scored per game1.7
0.6Goals conceded per game1.6
50%Over 2.5 goals70%
40%Both teams scored60%
60%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter Milan | 6 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 | Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |  Napoli | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Parma | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.