Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
52%
The model's best read is Home or Draw at 76%, well above the 67% norm for this competition. Roma project 1.64 goals to Atalanta's 1.04, with a 52% home win. The gap over the norm, not the raw figure, is what makes it stand out.
Roma
Strong
Atalanta
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +11 | 13 | |
| 2 | 5 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 | 5 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 5 | +3 | 12 | |
| 5 | 5 | +6 | 11 | |
| 6 | 5 | +5 | 10 | |
| 7 | 5 | +4 | 10 | |
| 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 | |
| 9 | 5 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 | 5 | -2 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | -5 | 6 | |
| 13 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 14 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 16 | 5 | -4 | 4 | |
| 17▲ | 6 | -5 | 4 | |
| 18▼ | 6 | -8 | 4 | |
| 19▼ | 5 | -3 | 2 | |
| 20 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
2
Roma
2
Draws
6
Atalanta