Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction, Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A · Round 4Full time
Genoa
1-2
Fiorentina
Model's readStadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
1 37%X 26%2 37%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
75.9%
xG
1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
50%
Form
Full stats →GenoaWLWDLFiorentinaLDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedGenoa favoured at 37%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.25 goals for Genoa and 1.24 for Fiorentina, giving 37% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 37% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.25 - 1.24
- Clean sheet chance: Genoa 29%, Fiorentina 29%
Match result
1X2Genoa37.1%
Draw26.3%
Fiorentina36.6%
Model rating
All ratings →4.2
Genoa
Average
5.1
Fiorentina
Average
GenoaLast 10 gamesFiorentina1.00Points per game1.40
1.1Goals scored per game1.7
1.5Goals conceded per game1.6
50%Over 2.5 goals70%
60%Both teams scored60%
10%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |  Inter Milan | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings0
Genoa
5
Draws
5
Fiorentina
- 10 May 26Fiorentina 0-0 Genoa
- 9 Nov 25Genoa 2-2 Fiorentina
- 2 Feb 25Fiorentina 2-1 Genoa
- 31 Oct 24Genoa 0-1 Fiorentina
- 15 Apr 24Fiorentina 1-1 Genoa