Atalanta vs Roma Prediction — Italian Serie A

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

69.6%

xG

1.2 – 1.5

Over 2.5

49%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →

AtalantaLLLWW

RomaDDWDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Roma favoured at 45%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.17 goals for Atalanta and 1.48 for Roma, giving 30% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 45% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.17 - 1.48
Clean sheet chance: Atalanta 23%, Roma 31%

Match result

1X2

Atalanta30.4%

Draw25.0%

Roma44.6%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.3

Atalanta

Above average

8.1

Roma

Strong

AtalantaLast 10 games

Roma

1.40Points per game2.40

1.0Goals scored per game2.2

1.1Goals conceded per game0.6

40%Over 2.5 goals50%

50%Both teams scored40%

30%Clean sheets60%

30%Failed to score10%

Recent results

AtalantaLLLWW

RomaDDWDW

Italian Serie A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Inter Milan	6	+10	16
2▲	Lazio54′ 2-1	6	+6	16
3▼	Roma	5	+11	13
4	Cagliari	5	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	+6	11
6	Napoli	6	+4	10
7	Juventus	5	+4	10
8	Como	5	+3	10
9	Frosinone	6	+2	10
10	Sassuolo	5	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	-2	6
12	Lecce51′ 0-1	6	-6	6
13▲	Bologna51′ 1-0	6	-2	5
14▼	Udinese	5	-3	4
15▼	Torino	5	-3	4
16▼	Monza54′ 1-2	6	-5	4
17▼	Genoa	6	-6	4
18▼	Parma	6	-6	4
19▼	Fiorentina	6	-7	4
20	Venezia	5	-9	0