Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
57%
The model makes USA the likeliest winner at 49%, with a draw at 26% and Canada at 25%. It expects USA to score 1.70 goals and Canada 1.16, and the most likely scorelines are 1-1 and 2-1. The gap is narrow, so treat this as a lean, not a lock.
USA
Above average
Canada
Above average
4
USA
4
Draws
2
Canada